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中国的习主席决心将人工智能应用于中国人民的日常生活,并努力实现由创新带来的全面可观的经济和社会效益。迄今为止,一切进展顺利。
通过面部识别系统,中国游客只需微笑就可以付款,这套系统还可以用来保障机场的安全。像杭州这样的城市由一个“城市大脑”管理,车险只需一张照片和一个电话就能解决。人工智能(AI)用于精简客流,并预测人们犯罪的可能性。这种系统覆盖了几乎100%的关键公共区域,同时也引出了公民权利和隐私方面的重要问题。但总的来说,中国社会已经接受了这些新技术。
这一进步也许是中国从模仿者向创新者进化的最明显的例子。AI正是中国将源于西方的创新发展壮大的光辉典范。阿里巴巴和华为等巨头不仅通过这一创新继续成长,许多年轻的中国企业家也准备带着自己的新想法进军全球市场。
去年十月,习主席在中共中央政治局的一次全体学习会议上专门讨论了AI,将AI视为一项核心政策。在这次会议上,习主席在行政命令中发布了三项重要公告:
- AI对确保下一次工业转型具有国家战略重要性
- AI对于赢得全球科技竞赛至关重要
- 开发现有的应用程序已不再足够。中国必须进一步进行基础设施投资,从而占据AI科技制高点。
中国的AI雄心不足为奇。鉴于经济增长放缓和资源成本增加,确实有必要升级产业。此外,在当今两极分化的地缘政治环境下,越来越需要减少对其他国家核心技术的依赖。在百度、阿里巴巴、腾讯和中国平安的成功基础上,并在众多新兴科技企业(如码隆科技,该公司最近被Fast Company评为中国最具创新性的公司)的支持下,中国成为AI领头羊将巩固其作为科技强国的地位。
至关重要的是,Al淘金热将由企业家来推动,而中国不缺乏企业家。企业家可以利用中国的规模(对训练深度学习机器至关重要)、丰富的人才资源和对实验的热情,为AI技术寻找可行的商业模式。
尽管美国公司仍然在核心技术上占有优势,但这种优势可能会比预期消失得更快。中国的AI在2016年初腾飞发展。从提到“深度学习”并被引用至少一次的期刊文章上,即可见中国的AI已经超过了美国,并把欧洲、印度、日本和韩国远远甩在后面。
中国走在正确的AI道路上,但挑战依然存在。中国政府用政策鼓励了AI技术的实施,但也引发了机会主义企业家和投资者的激增,想要利用地方政府的信息不对称来获利。中国人也越来越意识到数据隐私的重要性,这可能会影响到AI从大规模可用数据中获得快速发展的机会。
AI的真正价值不在于零售和消费,而在于应用,如智能城市、工厂和其他产业。在中国,大多数基于应用的AI企业仍处于起步阶段,迫切需要引入AI技术的平台标准才能真正腾飞。
但毫无疑问,AI是中国未来经济发展的核心方向。AI无关乎政治,而是关乎建立一个有竞争力的经济体。
Mark Greeven教授、George Yip、Wei Wei是《先驱、隐形冠军、变革者和弱势者:从中国创新者身上吸取的经验教训》(麻省理工学院出版社,2019年)的作者。
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Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications
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Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications
Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications
Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications
Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications
Research Information & Knowledge Hub for additional information on IMD publications
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